Interest rates

According to reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said, “We are trying to assess some recent events. The credit crunch may mean that work on interest rate policy can be reduced. A large proportion of people in the FOMC expect credit to tighten.”. Interpretation of this information: The recent statement by the Federal Reserve Chairman Powell suggests that the Fed is currently in the process of evaluating some latest occurrences, and they are considering the probable impact of any credit crunch. Powell highlighted that the credit crunch could result in diminishing…

According to reports, the Federal Reserve’s FOMC has made economic forecasts, with the median expected GDP growth rates of 0.4%, 1.2%, and 1.9% from 2023 to 2025. The previous expectations for December were 0.5%, 1.6%, and 1.8%, respectively. The Federal Reserve’s economic forecast indicates that it will raise interest rates by another 25 basis points this year and cut interest rates by 75 basis points by the end of 2024. Interpretation of this information: The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has released its latest economic forecast, which indicates…

According to reports, Nick Timiraos, the “Federal Reserve mouthpiece”, wrote that the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by another 25 basis points, but suggested that the turmoil in the banking system might end its interest rate hike earlier than expected two weeks ago. Federal Reserve officials hinted in their policy statements after the meeting that they might soon stop raising interest rates. The Committee expects that some additional policy tightening may be appropriate. They abandoned the wording used in the previous eight statements, namely, that the Committee expected that “sustained…

According to reports, the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point hike in interest rates, raising the target range of the federal funds rate to 4.75% to 5%, the highest level since October 2007. Interpretation of this information: The Federal Reserve has recently made an announcement regarding the increase in interest rates, with a 25 basis point hike resulting in the target range for the federal funds rate being raised to a level of 4.75% to 5%. This is the highest point that this rate has reached since October 2007….

According to reports, the Bank of England raised interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, raising them to 4.25%, in line with market expectations. The interest rate reached the highest level since October 2008, and has increased interest rates by 415 basis points since December 2021. (Jin Shi) Interpretation of this information: The Bank of England (BoE) has announced an increase in its interest rates from 4.0% to 4.25%, as expected by market analysts. This is the first increase in interest rates since August 2018, and it has been…

According to reports, the Swiss Central Bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 1.50%, in line with market expectations and reaching the highest level since October 2008. (Jin Shi) Interpretation of this information: The Swiss Central Bank has raised its interest rates by 50 basis points to 1.50%, a move that is in line with market expectations, and that brings the rate to its highest level since October 2008. Interest rates are typically used by central banks to control inflation and economic growth. By raising interest rates, the…

According to reports, Alex Brazier, deputy director of the BlackRock Investment Research Institute and former member of the Bank of England’s Financial Policy Committee, said that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates by 25 basis points today, while the Bank of England will “generally” raise benchmark interest rates by the same amount on Thursday. “I think (the Federal Reserve) will raise interest rates by 25 basis points today, and then possibly again, with interest rates slightly exceeding 5%,” Brazier said. Brazier said that the market turmoil of the past…

According to reports, Alex Brazier, deputy director of the BlackRock Investment Research Institute and former member of the Bank of England’s Financial Policy Committee, said that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates by 25 basis points today, while the Bank of England will “generally” raise benchmark interest rates by the same amount on Thursday. “I think (the Federal Reserve) will raise interest rates by 25 basis points today, and then possibly again, with interest rates slightly exceeding 5%,” Brazier said. Brazier said that the market turmoil of the past…

On March 22, according to CME’s “Federal Reserve Observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March to the range of 4.75% to 5.00% is temporarily reported at 87.8%, with a probability of remaining unchanged of 12.2%, and a probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points being 0. Interpretation of this information: The message implies that there is a high probability of the Federal Reserve increasing the interest rates by 25 basis points in March. CME’s “Federal Reserve Observation” states that…

According to reports, Tesla CEO Musk said that the Federal Reserve needs to cut interest rates by at least 50 basis points this week. Interpretation of this information: The recent message from Tesla CEO Elon Musk urges the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by a significant margin. Although the statement has been concise, it has significant implications for the country’s economy. The Federal Reserve is an independent body that operates the monetary policy of the United States by regulating the interest rates. The interest rates can impact the business…

According to CME’s “Federal Reserve Observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 34.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.75% to 5.00% is 65.7%; The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged by May is 26.1%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 25 basis points is 58.2%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points is 15.8%. Interpretation of this information: The message is about the possible…

On March 18th, Tesla CEO Elon Musk said that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate needs to be lowered immediately. Interpretation of this information: On March 18th, the CEO of Tesla, Elon Musk took to Twitter to express his thoughts on the current interest rates set by the Federal Reserve. In his message, Musk emphasised the need for an immediate lowering of the interest rates. His message was interpreted by many as a call to action, echoing concerns surrounding the current state of the U.S. economy. Musk’s message refers to the…

According to reports, US regulators are considering holding securities under the names of Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank that have fallen below their purchase price, a move that will remove one of the possible obstacles to selling these two banks. According to people familiar with the matter, this is a routine practice after the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) took over the bank, mainly facilitating the conclusion of acquisition transactions. Because if it involves assets with declining value, it will be more difficult to sell the relevant banks. People…

It is reported that the European Central Bank has raised all three major interest rates by 50 basis points, in line with market expectations, indicating that the European Central Bank’s determination to combat inflation remains firm. Interpretation of this information: The European Central Bank (ECB) has announced a decision to increase all three major interest rates by 50 basis points. This move was widely expected by the market and serves as an indication that the ECB remains committed to controlling inflation. A central bank’s interest rate affects the borrowing and…

According to reports, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman made a speech following the market volatility caused by the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) incident, refuting claims that the US banking system is facing challenges, saying that the US banking system remains “resilient and grounded.”. At the same time, Sherrod Brown, chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, also mentioned in an interview with Bloomberg that the United States Congress would enact financial regulations to strengthen stress testing and capital liquidity standards for banks. The policy maker added that the prospects for such…

According to CME’s “Federal Reserve observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 32.1%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.75% – 5.00% is 67.9%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points to the range of 5.00% – 5.25% has dropped to 0%; The probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points by May is 55.2%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 75 basis points to…

It is reported that the rate swap of the Federal Reserve shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March is stable at about 80%. Interpretation of this information: As per the report, the rate swap of the Federal Reserve indicating a steady probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March at around 80%. This report shows that the market continues to expect the United States central bank to increase the cost of borrowing. The predictions…

On March 14, Nomura predicted that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 25 basis points in March and suspend quantitative tightening. (Cailian Press) Interpretation of this information: On March 14, Nomura, an Asia-based financial services group, made a prediction about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. The prediction was that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 25 basis points in March and suspend quantitative tightening. The prediction comes on the back of recent US economic reports which have indicated that the economy is slowing down. These reports…

It is reported that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate swap currently shows that the most likely scenario is that the Federal Reserve will no longer raise interest rates. Interpretation of this information: The Federal Reserve has been a trending topic in the news lately as it continues to influence the country’s economy. According to recent reports, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate swap has shown that it is highly unlikely that the entity will continue to raise interest rates. This information came as a surprise to many, as there have been…

It is reported that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate swap is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year. Interpretation of this information: The message above suggests that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate swap is expected to make a significant cut in interest rates before the end of the year. This move is significant because it could have far-reaching implications for the economy, affecting everything from lending to borrowing to investment. To understand the impact of this news, it’s important to understand the…