Interest rates

It is reported that according to CME’s “Federal Reserve observation”, traders now believe that the probability of the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates unchanged in March is 54%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 46%. Interpretation of this information: The message states that, according to CME’s “Federal Reserve Observation,” traders are inclined towards the belief that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rates in March of this year. In fact, the probability of this happening currently stands at 54%, while the…

It is reported that according to the CME Federal Reserve, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March to the range of 4.75% – 5.00% is 96.0%; The probability of raising interest rate by 50 basis points dropped to 0, while the probability observed last time (March 8) was 73.5%. Interpretation of this information: The message is reporting on the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points in March. The CME Federal Reserve has reported that…

According to reports, Goldman Sachs said that in view of the recent pressure of the banking system, it no longer expected the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at the meeting on March 22. The expectation that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in May, June and July remains unchanged, and the terminal interest rate is now expected to be 5.25-5.5%. (Golden Ten) Interpretation of this information: Goldman Sachs has made a statement regarding the Federal Reserve’s plans to raise interest rates. After the recent…

It is reported that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the end of the year. Interpretation of this information: The news that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the end of the year has caused quite a stir in the economic world. This move is seen by many as an attempt to stimulate economic growth, as lower interest rates make it more attractive for consumers to borrow and spend money. It is also seen as a way to…

It is reported that the Federal Reserve swap shows that the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March will fall below 50%. Interpretation of this information: The Federal Reserve swap is a prediction market where traders can bet on the future actions of the Federal Reserve, particularly with regard to interest rates. Recently, it has been reported that the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March has fallen below 50%. This news may have implications for the economy as a…

According to CME’s “Federal Reserve Observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% – 5.00% in March is 35.4%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.00% – 5.25% is 64.6%; By May, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points is 28.7%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 75 basis points is 59.1%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 100 basis points is 12.3%. Interpretation…

According to reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that it must be emphasized that the Federal Reserve has not made any decision on the pace of future interest rate increase; Important data have not been released before the March meeting; The Federal Reserve has not set a fixed line on interest rate policy; The Federal Reserve has not made any decision on the policy meeting in March; The policy actions of the Federal Reserve will be guided by the economic data and the outlook for the future economic outlook; Job…

According to reports, Thomas Barkin, chairman of the Richmond Federal Reserve, said that the Federal Reserve needed to continue to raise interest rates in order to reduce excessive inflation, but he did not comment on the scale of the proposed interest rate increase later this month. “The Federal Reserve has taken radical action to reduce inflation by raising interest rates and reducing the balance sheet,” Barkin said on the labor market in South Carolina on Wednesday. “We have seen some progress, but the inflation rate of 5.5% is still far…

It is reported that the swap transaction of the Federal Reserve showed that the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March increased to 75%. Interpretation of this information: The Federal Reserve’s swap transaction report has revealed an interesting trend in the market speculation about the possible interest rate hike in the upcoming policy meeting. According to the report, The probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March has increased to 75%, which is a noteworthy increase from expectations in the previous swap report….

According to reports, US Republican Senator Hagerty said that he would discuss interest rate and cryptocurrency with Powell at the hearing. Note: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend the hearings of the Senate and the House of Representatives and make a speech at 23:00 p.m. Beijing time on March 7 and 8. Interpretation of this information: In an interesting turn of events, US Republican Senator Hagerty has expressed his intention to discuss interest rates and cryptocurrency with Federal Reserve Chairman Powell at an upcoming hearing. This could potentially suggest that…

It is reported that a new study shows that in order to curb inflation, Federal Reserve officials may need to raise interest rates to as high as 6.5%. The study severely criticized the Federal Reserve for its initial slow response to price increases. In an academic paper published by five Wall Street economists and scholars at the conference held in New York on Friday, they believed that the prospects of policy makers were still too optimistic, and they needed to make the economy suffer some pain before prices could be…

According to reports, the Federal Reserve Meister said that the new inflation data confirmed the reason for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates more in the future; The Federal Reserve needs to keep raising interest rates to more than 5% and keep them for a period of time until the inflation trend falls; The Federal Reserve needs more tightening measures to bring the inflation rate back to 2%; Strong inflationary pressure “is still around us”. Interpretation of this information: The message in question reports on comments made by Federal…

It is reported that the Federal Reserve Collins said that to cope with excessive inflation, the Federal Reserve needs to further raise interest rates, which may remain unchanged for a long time in the future. Interpretation of this information: The message is about the Federal Reserve’s plan to address excessive inflation by raising interest rates. According to Federal Reserve Collins, the continuous increase in the inflation rate requires immediate action, which could be achieved by tightening the monetary policy further through a consistent increase in interest rates. Inflation, in simple…

It is reported that the inflation index favored by the Federal Reserve grew faster than expected in January, and the growth of consumer spending was the largest since 2021. These two factors put pressure on policy makers to continue to raise interest rates. Data released on Friday showed that the price index of personal consumption expenditure rose 0.6% from the previous month, the largest increase since last June. Excluding food and energy, the core price index also rose 0.6%. Personal expenditure adjusted for price changes increased by 1.1%, rebounding from…

According to CME’s “Federal Reserve observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.75% – 5.00% in March is 73.0%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points to the range of 5.00% – 5.25% is 27.0%; By May, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 25 basis points is 0%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points is 70.3%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 75…

On February 23, Lee Hardman, a foreign exchange analyst at Mitsubishi UFJ, said in a report that the minutes of the meeting of the Federal Reserve on Wednesday showed that most officials preferred to raise interest rates by a small margin of 25 basis points, but did not provide further measures to boost the dollar, but the dollar is still expected to continue to perform well. With the support of the recent rise in the short-term yield of the United States, the dollar should continue to trade on a more…

According to reports, Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets, wrote that although the Federal Reserve Chairman Powell insisted at the press conference after the February meeting that the Federal Reserve would further raise interest rates and that the Federal Reserve would not consider reducing interest rates this year, he failed to categorically refute the direct question about the market’s expectation of reducing interest rates this year, resulting in a greater divergence between the market’s pricing of interest rates and the Federal Reserve’s expectation of how the economy might…

According to CME’s “Federal Reserve observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% – 5.00% in March is 79% (81.9% yesterday), and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.00% – 5.25% is 21.0%; The probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 25 basis points by May is 8.3%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points is 72.9%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 75 basis points to…

On February 21, according to the Bitlinex Alpha report, data showed that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates by more than 25 basis points in the future. Inflation intensified in January this year. Although the overall CPI fell year-on-year, some categories of consumer spending showed that inflation continued. All these factors together, the Federal Reserve may delay the recovery of the target interest rate of 2%. Interpretation of this information: The Bitlinex Alpha report from February 21 suggests that the Federal Reserve may increase interest rates by more than…

It is reported that Hamid Rashid, director of the Global Economic Monitoring Center of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations, said that the Federal Reserve may continue to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in the next few meetings, which will have a major impact on other economies in the world, because interest rates will remain at a very high level, and global financing costs will remain at a very high level, which will affect capital flows and investment in the overall growth prospects….